Tuesday, 28 April 2009

Commentary: Your source for news, commentary, and stock info

Wake Up People

I want to talk about swine-flu because now it has become the #1 story internationally. "Something is rotten in the state of Denmark." Anybody with more than two brain cells should understand that this swine flu was genetically engineered in a bio-lab somewhere, and about 11 days ago released on the public. The unusual nature of this flu should make you think twice about what you are hearing. Not everyone can be a swine flu expert, but do some digging for yourself online about how flues work. The fact that this flu has a bird, pig, and human strains combination is just bizarre. It is extremely rare that these different strains would combine with each other and have it affect humans. THEN, the fact that the flu season is over should also make you wonder what is going on. AND THEN, the fact that most flues start in the East (i.e. Asia) and that this flu was supposedly generated from Mexico. There is factual evidence that the U.S. company Baxter accidentally sent out a bird flu in their vaccines to Europe, and in Poland "homeless people die after bird flu vaccine trial in Poland". All the signs point to this current swine-flu being purposefully released to create a global pandemic OR just to create a PANIC about a pandemic. Get yourself informed on what is really going on. Wake up people.

Monday, 27 April 2009

Commentary: Your source for news, commentary, and stock info

Stock market moving on swine flu? Bloomberg says U.S. Stocks Fluctuate as Health-Care Companies Gain on Swine Flu, GM Rises. Just the ridiculousness of the article title should tell you all you need to know about what the media says. They actually think that stock prices of medical companies are reacting the news about a swine flu outbreak in Mexico, Canada, and the U.S. It’s just asinine to make that conclusion. Most mainstream media operate in the world of physics. By that I mean, they believe (not just them, but many people) action is followed by reaction. “Oh, well _______ happened, so that means that ________will happen because of it.” The fact of the matter is that the market itself is a living, breathing organism (in the hypothetical sense). It’s made up of millions of investors making buy and sell decisions over and over. The market moves based on what all the investors are thinking and feeling. A chart is simple a representation of human psychology. Think about this, have you ever seen a day where the news was so bad but the market went up? In your own mind, you thought that the bad news would affect the market negatively. Instead, the market didn’t care about the bad news and finished up. At the end of the day, the media scrambles to write a reason on why the market did what it did. And a lot of the time the reasons they give are just ridiculous. Today is one of those days. Health care companies going up because of a swine flu, is just ridiculous. A stock is going to go where the major of investors thoughts, feelings, and decision lead it. If most investors are bearish, the stock will go down. If most are bullish, it will go up. A one day move means nothing. The trend shows the direction of how the majority of investors are thinking. Secondly, the swine flu is reportedly a hybrid mixture of bird flu, swine flu, and human flu (i.e. Asian, European, and North American flus). It’s very rare for viral strains from two different animals and humans to combine and affect humans. Especially when they are from different continents and then showing up in one place. If you are well read on influenza (which I am not), then you will know this. Once a virus is contracted by someone, it replicates itself within a cell and mutates possibly 10 to 1 billion times. By the time it has all of those replications and mutations, the virus may become a less virulent strain and maybe not even be lethal by the time it passes through many people. If we begin to see people dying from this particularly swine flu popping up all at once in completely different geographic areas and occurring naturally, It’s highly unbelievable and most likely is a weaponized release of a deadly pathogen.

Commentary: Your source for news, commentary, and stock info

Truth under the radar

There was an article over the weekend on Bloomberg.com talking about how insiders are unloading their shares in this current rally. If you only get your news from the mainstream media, then you are not likely to believe that everything you believe is propaganda. I’m here to tell you that all mainstream media is propaganda and spin. Occasionally, you will get shreds of truth mix in together with what the mainstream media wants you to believe. Every now and then, news will come out that is true but people don’t react to it. The article on Bloomberg is one of those truths. It talks about how insiders are selling shares at ”the fastest pace since the start of the bear market.”
That’s all you need to know right there to figure out what is happening in the market. The true insiders are selling, not buying. Why? It’s because the market is going lower and they are using the bounce to exit positions. If it was the start of a true bull market don’t you think insiders would be buying? These are the founders, CEOs, and executives of major American companies. You don’t think that their access to information helps them make investment decisions. Of course it does. The current rally has been sharp, but I said that we would see a rally in late February. I think this rally is going to fool a lot of people because there really are some people out there who believe that the worst is behind us, and the recovery is on the way. There isn’t going to be a recovery, but that doesn’t really matter. The stock market dances to its on tune. Right now, we are going up (without any logic for it). And if we are going up, you should be long. But my caveat would be that this is a bear market rally, and you must play it that way. There are a handful of reasons of why I think this rally is bogus, and eventually will be met with even greater selling. Make as much money as you can on the long side for the next few months, but be ready exit everything on the ensuing decline. I would say sometime in July-August I expect the rally to end, when reality hits that there is not going to be a recovery in 2009. Funny thing is, at the start of January 2008, the same pundits were telling us that the economy would recover in the second half of 2008. It never happened, and it’s not going to happen this time either.

Monday, 20 April 2009

The Obama Deception

I'm Back

I have been on break for the first 2 ½ weeks of this month because nothing (in my opinion) has been all that interesting to talk about. I have just been watching the market and waiting patiently. I will say that I have been waiting to post this movie up called the Obama Deception. First, let me say that I am a political atheist (as Gerald Celente calls it). So, I don’t support Democrats or Republicans. I am neither. I haven’t voted for a single president in my 30 years of life. I would say for the first 20 years because I knew nothing about politics, and thought that voting without knowing what is going on is just plain ignorant. The other 10 years I didn’t vote because, the selection I had been given was terrible. I wouldn’t vote for a single one of those people. So, I chose not to. You might say that is being apathetic. But I ask, is being given the opportunity to drink a cyanide solution or liquid nitrogen a choice? I don’t think so.
I wanted to give President Barack Obama the benefit of the doubt for the first three months of his presidency before I started to criticize any of his actions. I specifically waited 3 months to the day of his inauguration so that in those 3 months we could all see some of the steps he has taken in his bid for “change America can believe in.” Well, those of you who are aware of what is going on the market and politics already KNOW what is going on, but for those of you that don’t. Educate yourself by watching the post Obama Deception. Also, if you disagree with anything said in the film (which you probably will), go research for yourself and check out the facts. Don’t just dismiss it because it isn’t what you want to hear. You should never believe anything anyone tells you anyway without finding out for yourself.

Wednesday, 1 April 2009

All I Can Say Is.....Damn!

U.S. home prices show record drop in January

I came across the chart of house prices in the LA times article titled, "U.S. home prices show record drop in January". So which direction is the trend?